Elecciones 2021 Baja California - Encuesta de Encuestas

METODOLOGÍA	ENCUESTADORA	FECHA	Lupita Jones “Va por Baja California” PAN/PRI/PRD	Marina del Pilar Ávila Olmeda “Juntos Haremos Historia” (MORENA/PT/PVEM)	Jorge Hank Rhon (PES)	Jorge Ojeda García (FSM)	Alejandro Mungaray Lagarda (MC)	Anularía mi voto	Otro	No sé	TOTAL	LINK
1	PROMEDIO ACUMULADO EdeE 2020	EdeE	31/05/2021	17.96%	38.61%	28.23%	1.08%	2.15%	0.19%	4.48%	7.32%	100%
2	Online	AZ2	29/05/2021	19.20%	28.60%	49.40%	0.00%	0.30%	0.30%	0.00%	2.20%	100.00%
3	Online	ARIAS Y CONSULTORES	24/04/2021	15.70%	38.50%	40.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.20%	3.30%	100.00%
4	Telefónica	EL FINANCIERO	24/04/2021	30.00%	45.00%	16.00%	2.00%	4.00%	0.00%	3.00%	0.00%	100.00%
5	Telefónica	C&E RESEARCH	24/05/2021	18.00%	48.00%	17.00%	4.00%	1.00%	0.00%	4.00%	8.00%	100.00%
6	Online	MÉXICO ELIGE	19/05/2021	14.10%	40.40%	35.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	7.30%	2.30%	100.00%
7	Telefónica	POLIGRAMA	14/05/2021	13.96%	38.36%	31.07%	2.39%	2.77%	0.00%	2.26%	9.19%	100.00%
8	F2F	PLURAL	05/05/2021	15.00%	44.00%	14.00%	2.00%	2.00%	0.00%	7.00%	16.00%	100.00%
9	Telefónica	FACTOMETRICA	05/05/2021	13.50%	41.80%	24.10%	1.00%	4.70%	0.00%	9.30%	5.60%	100.00%
10	Online	AZ2	30/04/2021	16.80%	24.40%	52.40%	1.00%	0.60%	1.00%	0.00%	3.80%	100.00%
11	Online	ARIAS Y CONSULTORES	30/04/2021	13.60%	32.90%	44.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	4.30%	5.00%	100.00%
12	Online	MÉXICO ELIGE	26/04/2021	14.40%	39.80%	34.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	8.00%	3.10%	100.00%
13	F2F	MITOFSKY	25/04/2021	21.50%	45.90%	15.10%	0.20%	2.20%	0.60%	1.10%	13.40%	100.00%
14	Telefónica	FACTOMETRICA	20/04/2021	16.30%	42.70%	21.50%	0.60%	4.50%	0.00%	7.90%	6.50%	100.00%
15	Online	ARIAS Y CONSULTORES	15/04/2021	13.80%	33.20%	40.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.20%	9.80%	100.00%
16	Telefónica	C&E RESEARCH	12/04/2021	20.00%	38.00%	14.00%	1.00%	2.00%	0.00%	3.00%	22.00%	100.00%
17	Telefónica	EL FINANCIERO	07/04/2021	33.00%	46.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	0.00%	6.00%	0.00%	100.00%
18	Online	AZ2	24/03/2021	19.60%	35.60%	36.20%	0.00%	2.80%	2.20%	0.00%	3.60%	100.00%
19	Online	MÉXICO ELIGE	30/03/2021	14.90%	38.90%	25.70%	1.10%	3.20%	0.00%	6.00%	10.20%	100.00%
20	Online	ARIAS Y CONSULTORES	26/03/2021	16.80%	36.90%	33.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	10.30%	2.60%	100.00%
21	Telefónica	C&E RESEARCH	20/03/2021	29.00%	38.00%	22.00%	0.00%	6.00%	0.00%	5.00%	0.00%	100.00%
22	Telefónica	POLIGRAMA	14/03/2021	14.62%	33.33%	25.31%	2.99%	3.46%	0.00%	5.50%	14.79%	100.00%
23	Online	ARIAS Y CONSULTORES	11/03/2021	11.30%	39.20%	22.70%	0.40%	3.70%	0.00%	3.10%	19.60%	100.00%

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Encuestadoras antes de campaña

METODOLOGÍA	ENCUESTADORA	FECHA	PRI	MORENA	PAN	MC	PRD	PT	PVEM	PES	FSM	RSP	CANDIDATO INDEPENDIENTE	OTRO PARTIDO	ANULARÍA MI VOTO	NO SÉ	TOTAL	LINK
1	Average EdeE		01/03/2021	10.24%	35.14%	21.36%	1.45%	0.95%	0.37%	0.01%	1.11%	0.01%	0.76%	0.97%	8.01%	0.19%	19.41%	100%
2	ONLINE	AZ2	21/02/2021	4.70%	37.50%	11.00%	1.60%	0.60%	0.50%	0.20%	15.50%	0.00%	10.70%	4.20%	1.80%	1.90%	9.80%	100.00%
3	ONLINE	AZ2	12/01/2021	9.60%	40.20%	21.40%	2.10%	1.20%	1.20%	0.00%	1.20%	0.20%	0.70%	10.40%	3.80%	0.90%	7.10%	100%
4	ONLINE	AZ2	31/12/2020	12.21%	37.45%	22.64%	0.88%	0.38%	0.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	9.87%	0.00%	16.17%	100%
5	TELEFÓNICA	EL FINANCIERO	02/12/2020	11.00%	33.00%	12.00%	0.00%	4.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	7.00%	0.00%	33.00%	100%
6	ONLINE	AZ2	30/11/2020	10.52%	36.70%	27.38%	1.77%	0.77%	0.80%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	4.73%	0.00%	17.33%	100%
7	TELÉFONICA	C&E RESEARCH	30/11/2020	13.00%	40.00%	17.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	15.00%	0.00%	15.00%	100%
8	ONLINE	AZ2	30/09/2020	10.80%	34.00%	25.10%	0.90%	1.20%	2.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	9.20%	0.00%	16.40%	100%
9	TELEFÓNICA	C&E RESEARCH	11/09/2020	10.00%	46.00%	29.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	15.00%	100%
10	TELEFÓNICA	FACTO-METRICA	11/09/2020	9.40%	32.80%	26.70%	4.40%	1.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	5.00%	0.00%	20.60%	100%
11	ONLINE	AZ2	30/08/2020	9.90%	28.20%	27.55%	0.95%	0.65%	0.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	13.10%	0.00%	19.55%	100%
12	TELEFÓNICA	FINANCIERO	11/08/2020	7.00%	31.00%	10.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	11.00%	0.00%	41.00%	100%
13	ONLINE	AZ2	22/07/2020	11.80%	20.20%	40.00%	1.90%	0.60%	0.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	7.00%	0.00%	18.30%	100%
14	ONLINE	MITOFSKY	23/07/2020	7.10%	38.00%	14.20%	0.00%	0.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	19.20%	0.00%	20.80%	100%
15	ONLINE	DEMOTECNIA	30/06/2020	8.00%	36.00%	16.00%	3.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	11.00%	0.00%	26.00%	100%
16	ONLINE	ANALÍTICA MEDIA	30/05/2020	18.50%	36.10%	20.40%	4.30%	3.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.50%	0.00%	15.10%	100%

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Promedios mensuales en campaña

Promedios mensuales antes de campaña

Promedios mensuales en campaña

FECHA	Lupita Jones “Va por Baja California” PAN/PRI/PRD	Marina del Pilar Ávila Olmeda “Juntos Haremos Historia” (MORENA/PT/PVEM)	Jorge Hank Rhon (PES)	Jorge Ojeda García (FSM)	Alejandro Mungaray Lagarda (MC)	Anularía mi voto	Otro	No sé
1	01/05/2021	17.43%	40.58%	28.47%	1.42%	1.85%	0.04%	4.38%	5.82%
2	01/04/2021	18.68%	37.86%	28.49%	0.98%	1.66%	0.20%	4.19%	7.95%
3	01/03/2021	17.70%	36.99%	27.55%	0.75%	3.19%	0.37%	4.98%	8.46%

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Promedios mensuales antes de campaña

FECHA	PRI	MORENA	PAN	MC	PRD	PT	PVEM	PES	FSM	RSP	CANDIDATO INDEPENDIENTE	OTRO PARTIDO	ANULARÍA MI VOTO	NO SÉ	TOTAL
1	01/02/2021	4.70%	37.50%	11.00%	1.60%	0.60%	0.50%	0.20%	15.50%	0.00%	10.70%	4.20%	1.80%	1.90%	9.80%	100%
2	01/01/2021	9.60%	40.20%	21.40%	2.10%	1.20%	1.20%	0.00%	1.20%	0.20%	0.70%	10.40%	3.80%	0.90%	7.10%	100%
3	01/12/2020	11.61%	35.23%	17.32%	0.44%	2.19%	0.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	8.43%	0.00%	24.58%	100%
4	01/11/2020	11.76%	38.35%	22.19%	0.88%	0.38%	0.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	9.87%	0.00%	16.17%	100%
5	01/10/2020
6	01/09/2020	10.07%	37.60%	26.93%	1.77%	0.77%	0.80%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	4.73%	0.00%	17.33%	100%
7	01/08/2020	8.45%	29.60%	18.78%	0.47%	0.33%	0.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	12.05%	0.00%	30.27%	100%
8	01/07/2020	9.45%	29.10%	27.10%	0.95%	0.65%	0.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	13.10%	0.00%	19.55%	100%
9	01/06/2020	8.00%	36.00%	16.00%	3.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	11.00%	0.00%	26.00%	100%
10	01/05/2020	18.50%	36.10%	20.40%	4.30%	3.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.50%	0.00%	15.10%	100%

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Proceso electoral local

Intención de voto ciudadano Baja California

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PREP-Resultados preliminares de conteo rápido en Baja California

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